Boston Bruins
BOS · 30-30-9
2–3
Final / OTL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 27-33-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BOS
29040502220
BUF
17190816330
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Bruins trail the season series 1–2
BOS 30-30-9 · BUF 27-33-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Bruins trail the season series 1–2
Bruins fell to the Sabres
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.6 expected goals); the Bruins lost it in overtime on Tuch's goal. The Sabres scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 20 and 30 shots on goal.
BOS 2.4 xG · 20 shots
BUF 2.6 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.5 · 0.6
3rd
0.2 · 0.5
OT
0.2 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Peyton Krebs · 1st 04:19 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Pavel Zacha · 1st 13:00 · 1–1 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
3
Morgan Geekie · 1st 15:13 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Owen Power · 2nd 12:48 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Alex Tuch · OT 04:49 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 46.
BOS 46%BUF 54%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Peyton Krebs · 1st 04:19 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Pavel Zacha · 1st 13:00 · 1–1
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
3
Morgan Geekie · 1st 15:13 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Owen Power · 2nd 12:48 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Alex Tuch · OT 04:49 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.