BOS
3–4
WSH
Final · L
Boston Bruins
BOS · 30-36-9
3–4
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 48-17-9
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
0429111324
WSH
21106215432
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Bruins trail the season series 1–2
BOS 30-36-9 · WSH 48-17-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Bruins trail the season series 1–2
Bruins fell to the Capitals
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.7 expected goals); the Bruins lost 3–4. Jeremy Swayman allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.7, on 24 and 32 shots on goal.
BOS 2.5 xG · 24 shots
WSH 2.7 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.8
2nd
1.3 · 0.6
3rd
0.9 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nic Dowd · 1st 13:32 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 15:43 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Vinni Lettieri · 2nd 06:05 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
David Pastrnak · 2nd 17:12 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Dylan Strome · 3rd 10:37 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (34%)
6
Tom Wilson · 3rd 14:46 · 2–4 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
David Pastrnak · 3rd 15:13 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 48.
BOS 48%WSH 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Bruins shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nic Dowd · 1st 13:32 · SH · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 15:43 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Vinni Lettieri · 2nd 06:05 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
David Pastrnak · 2nd 17:12 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Dylan Strome · 3rd 10:37 · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (34%)
6
Tom Wilson · 3rd 14:46 · GWG · 2–4
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
David Pastrnak · 3rd 15:13 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
6
Pierre-Luc Dubois, Alex Ovechkin · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–4
No penalties
Goaltending
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
