Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 32-39-11
3–2
Final / OTW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 28-42-12
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF
0100721415336
CHI
09181400221
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–0
BUF 32-39-11 · CHI 28-42-12 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–0
Sabres beat the Blackhawks
The Sabres earned it: 2.6 expected goals to 1.8, and they won it in overtime on Mittelstadt's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 1.8, on 36 and 21 shots on goal.
BUF 2.6 xG · 36 shots
CHI 1.8 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.6
2nd
0.6 · 0.7
3rd
1.2 · 0.4
OT
0.4 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dominik Kubalik · 2nd 08:47 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Tage Thompson · 3rd 04:16 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Dylan Strome · 3rd 09:33 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Owen Power · 3rd 14:22 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Casey Mittelstadt · OT 02:07 · 3–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 64.
BUF 64%CHI 36%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dominik Kubalik · 2nd 08:47 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Tage Thompson · 3rd 04:16 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Dylan Strome · 3rd 09:33 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Owen Power · 3rd 14:22 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Casey Mittelstadt · OT 02:07 · GWG · 3–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.