Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 1-0-0
4–1
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 0-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
09215212436
OTT
11609011136
goals · shots on goal
Season opener for both teams
·First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 1-0-0 · OTT 0-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Senators
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.5 expected goals); the Sabres won 4–1. Craig Anderson stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.5, on 36 and 36 shots on goal.
BUF 2.4 xG · 36 shots
OTT 2.5 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.9
2nd
1.3 · 1.2
3rd
0.7 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 10:16 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
JJ Peterka · 2nd 04:31 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 07:25 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 19:18 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 19:33 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 49.
BUF 49%OTT 51%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 10:16 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
JJ Peterka · 2nd 04:31 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 07:25 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 19:18 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 19:33 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/36 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.