BUF
3–4
FLA
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 1-1-0
3–4
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 2-0-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
2131905327
FLA
21621407437
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 1-1-0 · FLA 2-0-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Panthers
The Sabres were outchanced (4.1 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost 3–4. Spencer Knight allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 1.9, on 37 and 27 shots on goal.
BUF 1.9 xG · 27 shots
FLA 4.1 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.8 · 2.1
2nd
0.6 · 1.8
3rd
0.4 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 10:35 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Colin White · 1st 14:03 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 18:09 · 1–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
Zemgus Girgensons · 1st 18:51 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Aaron Ekblad · 2nd 02:31 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Brandon Montour · 2nd 17:45 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
7
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 19:01 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 18.
BUF 18%FLA 82%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Tuch · 1st 10:35 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Colin White · 1st 14:03 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 1st 18:09 · 1–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
4
Zemgus Girgensons · 1st 18:51 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Aaron Ekblad · 2nd 02:31 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Brandon Montour · 2nd 17:45 · PP · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
7
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 19:01 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 4.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
