BUF
2–3
MTL
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 4-3-0
2–3
FinalL
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 4-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
014113118245
MTL
11109214334
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 4-3-0 · MTL 4-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Canadiens
The Sabres created the better chances (3.5 to 2.9 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Samuel Montembeault stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.9, on 45 and 34 shots on goal.
BUF 3.5 xG · 45 shots
MTL 2.9 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.9
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd
1.2 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brendan Gallagher · 1st 13:31 · 0–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
2
· 2nd 00:31 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Kaiden Guhle · 3rd 06:51 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 12:54 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Josh Anderson · 3rd 16:14 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 59.
BUF 59%MTL 41%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brendan Gallagher · 1st 13:31 · 0–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
2
· 2nd 00:31 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Kaiden Guhle · 3rd 06:51 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 12:54 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Josh Anderson · 3rd 16:14 · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
43/45 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
