BUF
4–3
CHI
Final / OT · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 5-3-0
4–3
Final / OTW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 4-3-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF
11601521311445
CHI
162170300326
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 5-3-0 · CHI 4-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Blackhawks
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Sabres erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Thompson's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Olofsson's goal. The Sabres scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 3.4, on 45 and 26 shots on goal.
BUF 4.5 xG · 45 shots
CHI 3.4 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.8 · 1.3
2nd
1.5 · 1.6
3rd
1.0 · 0.5
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Victor Olofsson · 1st 06:19 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Jason Dickinson · 1st 10:20 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
3
Sam Lafferty · 2nd 04:49 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
4
Taylor Raddysh · 2nd 06:20 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 11:55 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
6
Tage Thompson · 3rd 16:47 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Victor Olofsson · OT 00:36 · 4–3 · slap shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 65.
BUF 65%CHI 35%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Blackhawks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Victor Olofsson · 1st 06:19 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Jason Dickinson · 1st 10:20 · PP · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
3
Sam Lafferty · 2nd 04:49 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
4
Taylor Raddysh · 2nd 06:20 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 11:55 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
6
Tage Thompson · 3rd 16:47 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Victor Olofsson · OT 00:36 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
41/45 saves · 4 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
