BUF
8–3
DET
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 6-3-0
8–3
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 4-3-2
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
114315417846
DET
062913318
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 6-3-0 · DET 4-3-2 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Red Wings
The Sabres earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 1.5, and a 8–3 win to show for it. Alex Nedeljkovic allowed 4.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.5, on 46 and 18 shots on goal.
BUF 3.3 xG · 46 shots
DET 1.5 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.4
2nd
1.6 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 16:52 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Olli Maatta · 2nd 01:26 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jack Quinn · 2nd 05:22 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
· 2nd 14:26 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
5
Tage Thompson · 2nd 18:30 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
David Perron · 2nd 19:03 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 04:19 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 12:53 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 14:47 · 6–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
10
Tage Thompson · 3rd 15:58 · 7–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
11
Rasmus Asplund · 3rd 19:21 · 8–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 79.
BUF 79%DET 21%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 16:52 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Olli Maatta · 2nd 01:26 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jack Quinn · 2nd 05:22 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
· 2nd 14:26 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
5
Tage Thompson · 2nd 18:30 · PP · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
David Perron · 2nd 19:03 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 04:19 · SH · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 12:53 · PP · 5–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 14:47 · 6–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
10
Tage Thompson · 3rd 15:58 · 7–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
11
Rasmus Asplund · 3rd 19:21 · 8–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/18 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
38/46 saves · 8 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 4.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
