BUF
6–3
PIT
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 7-3-0
6–3
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 4-5-2
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
01119513633
PIT
161817321
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 7-3-0 · PIT 4-5-2 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Penguins
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Sabres erased the deficit with 6 unanswered goals — Olofsson's equalizer — and won 6–3. Casey DeSmith allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.0, on 33 and 21 shots on goal.
BUF 2.0 xG · 33 shots
PIT 2.0 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.6
2nd
0.6 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 06:28 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Josh Archibald · 2nd 05:50 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
JJ Peterka · 2nd 18:51 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 00:08 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 03:21 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 06:29 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Alex Tuch · 3rd 10:34 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 18:24 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 19:53 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 51.
BUF 51%PIT 49%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 06:28 · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Josh Archibald · 2nd 05:50 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
JJ Peterka · 2nd 18:51 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 00:08 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 03:21 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 06:29 · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Alex Tuch · 3rd 10:34 · GWG · 4–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 18:24 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 19:53 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
