Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 7-7-0
4–7
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 13-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
110113212435
VGK
11526415736
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 7-7-0 · VGK 13-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Golden Knights
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.2 expected goals); the Sabres lost 4–7. Eric Comrie allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.2, on 35 and 36 shots on goal.
BUF 3.3 xG · 35 shots
VGK 3.2 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.9
2nd
1.4 · 0.9
3rd
1.2 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Chandler Stephenson · 1st 05:44 · 0–1 · slap shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 16:23 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Phil Kessel · 2nd 03:43 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 14:09 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Paul Cotter · 2nd 17:08 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Alex Pietrangelo · 3rd 03:52 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Jack Eichel · 3rd 06:13 · 2–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
8
Tage Thompson · 3rd 09:40 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
9
Jack Eichel · 3rd 14:37 · 3–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
10
Rasmus Asplund · 3rd 16:31 · 4–6 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
11
Jack Eichel · 3rd 19:52 · 4–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 51.
BUF 51%VGK 49%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Chandler Stephenson · 1st 05:44 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 16:23 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Phil Kessel · 2nd 03:43 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 14:09 · PP · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Paul Cotter · 2nd 17:08 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Alex Pietrangelo · 3rd 03:52 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Jack Eichel · 3rd 06:13 · GWG · 2–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
8
Tage Thompson · 3rd 09:40 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
9
Jack Eichel · 3rd 14:37 · 3–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
10
Rasmus Asplund · 3rd 16:31 · SH · 4–6
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
11
Jack Eichel · 3rd 19:52 · EN · 4–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/35 saves · 6 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.