BUF
1–3
BOS
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 7-8-0
1–3
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 13-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
110011010131
BOS
05110215330
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 7-8-0 · BOS 13-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Bruins
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.9 expected goals); the Sabres lost 1–3. Keith Kinkaid stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.9, on 31 and 30 shots on goal.
BUF 3.0 xG · 31 shots
BOS 2.9 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.5
2nd
0.7 · 0.9
3rd
1.3 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 05:17 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Patrice Bergeron · 2nd 18:51 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Jakub Zboril · 3rd 12:31 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Patrice Bergeron · 3rd 18:11 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 52.
BUF 52%BOS 48%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Bruins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 05:17 · SH · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Patrice Bergeron · 2nd 18:51 · PP · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Jakub Zboril · 3rd 12:31 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Patrice Bergeron · 3rd 18:11 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
