BUF
4–5
VAN
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 7-9-0
4–5
FinalL
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 5-9-3
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
1829115432
VAN
21531205532
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 7-9-0 · VAN 5-9-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres fell to the Canucks
Chances were even (2.9 to 3.4 expected goals); the Sabres lost 4–5. Craig Anderson allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.4, on 32 and 32 shots on goal.
BUF 2.9 xG · 32 shots
VAN 3.4 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.4
2nd
1.3 · 1.4
3rd
0.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dakota Joshua · 1st 08:01 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
· 1st 09:18 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
· 1st 11:15 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Elias Pettersson · 2nd 00:31 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
· 2nd 03:43 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
6
J.T. Miller · 2nd 07:13 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Bo Horvat · 2nd 08:25 · 2–5 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
8
Alex Tuch · 2nd 11:12 · 3–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 12:02 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 43.
BUF 43%VAN 57%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Canucks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dakota Joshua · 1st 08:01 · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
· 1st 09:18 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
· 1st 11:15 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Elias Pettersson · 2nd 00:31 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
· 2nd 03:43 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
6
J.T. Miller · 2nd 07:13 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Bo Horvat · 2nd 08:25 · PP · GWG · 2–5
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
8
Alex Tuch · 2nd 11:12 · 3–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 12:02 · 4–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
