BUF
6–2
STL
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 9-11-0
6–2
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 10-9-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
11031329632
STL
08115113236
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 9-11-0 · STL 10-9-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Blues
The Sabres earned it: 3.9 expected goals to 3.4, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Jordan Binnington allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 3.4, on 32 and 36 shots on goal.
BUF 3.9 xG · 32 shots
STL 3.4 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 0.7
2nd
1.3 · 1.1
3rd
1.2 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 00:18 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 00:53 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 02:53 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 05:57 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
· 2nd 13:01 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Jack Quinn · 3rd 12:44 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Jack Quinn · 3rd 18:43 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 18:56 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 58.
BUF 58%STL 42%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 00:18 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 00:53 · PP · 1–1
Deflected shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 02:53 · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 05:57 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
· 2nd 13:01 · PP · 4–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Jack Quinn · 3rd 12:44 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Jack Quinn · 3rd 18:43 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Brayden Schenn · 3rd 18:56 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/32 saves · 6 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
