BUF
1–3
NJD
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 9-12-0
1–3
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 17-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
07114013134
NJD
01632008344
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 9-12-0 · NJD 17-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Devils
Chances were even (2.9 to 3.2 expected goals); the Sabres lost 1–3. Akira Schmid stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.2, on 34 and 44 shots on goal.
BUF 2.9 xG · 34 shots
NJD 3.2 xG · 44 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd
0.9 · 1.3
3rd
1.3 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Hughes · 2nd 02:00 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Jesper Boqvist · 2nd 05:47 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 14:19 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Tomas Tatar · 2nd 17:55 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 45.
BUF 45%NJD 55%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Hughes · 2nd 02:00 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Jesper Boqvist · 2nd 05:47 · GWG · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 14:19 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Tomas Tatar · 2nd 17:55 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
41/44 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/34 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
