BUF
3–4
PIT
Final / OT · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 12-13-2
3–4
Final / OTL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 15-8-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF
0132111700331
PIT
061821712433
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 12-13-2 · PIT 15-8-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres fell to the Penguins
The Sabres were outchanced (3.8 to 2.7 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Carter's goal. The Penguins scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.7, on 33 and 31 shots on goal.
BUF 2.7 xG · 31 shots
PIT 3.8 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.4
2nd
1.3 · 1.4
3rd
0.6 · 1.2
OT · the swing
0.0 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 15:36 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 18:08 · 1–1 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
3
· 2nd 19:15 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 02:53 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
5
Brock McGinn · 3rd 16:30 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 18:30 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Jeff Carter · OT 01:36 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 34.
BUF 34%PIT 66%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 15:36 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 18:08 · 1–1
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
3
· 2nd 19:15 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Rickard Rakell · 3rd 02:53 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
5
Brock McGinn · 3rd 16:30 · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 18:30 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Jeff Carter · OT 01:36 · PP · GWG · 3–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
