BUF
6–0
LAK
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 13-14-2
6–0
FinalW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 15-12-5
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
03012616631
LAK
016014010040
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 13-14-2 · LAK 15-12-5 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Kings
The Sabres earned it: 2.7 expected goals to 2.1, and a 6–0 win to show for it. Pheonix Copley allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 2.1, on 31 and 40 shots on goal.
BUF 2.7 xG · 31 shots
LAK 2.1 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.8
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tage Thompson · 3rd 01:21 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 09:56 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
JJ Peterka · 3rd 10:09 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Alex Tuch · 3rd 14:31 · 4–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 16:27 · 5–0 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 18:33 · 6–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 60.
BUF 60%LAK 40%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Kings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tage Thompson · 3rd 01:21 · PP · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 09:56 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
JJ Peterka · 3rd 10:09 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Alex Tuch · 3rd 14:31 · PP · 4–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Tage Thompson · 3rd 16:27 · PP · 5–0
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 18:33 · 6–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
40/40 saves · 0 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/31 saves · 6 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
