BUF
6–5
MIN
Final / OT · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 20-15-2
6–5
Final / OTW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 22-13-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF
1831111414637
MIN
0931821106544
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 20-15-2 · MIN 22-13-3 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Wild
The Sabres were outchanced (3.7 to 2.9 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Olofsson's goal anyway. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.9, on 44 and 37 shots on goal.
BUF 2.9 xG · 37 shots
MIN 3.7 xG · 44 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.9 · 1.8
3rd
0.9 · 0.9
OT
0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Victor Olofsson · 1st 13:00 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Brandon Duhaime · 2nd 02:52 · 1–1 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 06:46 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Tage Thompson · 2nd 10:30 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 12:02 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 13:55 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 18:45 · 4–3 · bat shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 00:26 · 4–4 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 07:48 · 4–5 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
10
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 17:36 · 5–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
11
Victor Olofsson · OT 04:41 · 6–5 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 39.
BUF 39%MIN 61%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Victor Olofsson · 1st 13:00 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Brandon Duhaime · 2nd 02:52 · 1–1
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 06:46 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Tage Thompson · 2nd 10:30 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 12:02 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 13:55 · PP · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Ryan Hartman · 2nd 18:45 · 4–3
Bat shot, a good chance (13%)
8
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 00:26 · 4–4
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 07:48 · PP · 4–5
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
10
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 17:36 · 5–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
11
Victor Olofsson · OT 04:41 · GWG · 6–5
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
39/44 saves · 5 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/37 saves · 6 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
