BUF
2–4
WPG
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 20-18-2
2–4
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 27-14-1
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
010116115241
WPG
191929427
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 20-18-2 · WPG 27-14-1 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Jets
The Sabres created the better chances (3.7 to 2.1 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.1, on 41 and 27 shots on goal.
BUF 3.7 xG · 41 shots
WPG 2.1 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
3rd
1.3 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Samberg · 1st 06:35 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 12:02 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Josh Morrissey · 2nd 14:11 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Tyson Jost · 3rd 02:50 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Kyle Connor · 3rd 07:19 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
6
Karson Kuhlman · 3rd 19:17 · 2–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 75.
BUF 75%WPG 25%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Samberg · 1st 06:35 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 12:02 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Josh Morrissey · 2nd 14:11 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Tyson Jost · 3rd 02:50 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Kyle Connor · 3rd 07:19 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
6
Karson Kuhlman · 3rd 19:17 · EN · 2–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
2
Casey Mittelstadt, Henri Jokiharju · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
39/41 saves · 2 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
