Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 21-19-2
1–4
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 21-20-4
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
0808113129
FLA
11411525434
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–2
BUF 21-19-2 · FLA 21-20-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–2
Sabres fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.5 expected goals); the Sabres lost 1–4. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.5, on 29 and 34 shots on goal.
BUF 2.4 xG · 29 shots
FLA 2.5 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 1.1
2nd
0.5 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brandon Montour · 1st 04:01 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
2
Sam Bennett · 2nd 08:04 · 0–2 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Anton Lundell · 3rd 00:34 · 0–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Alex Tuch · 3rd 11:27 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 18:22 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 48.
BUF 48%FLA 52%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brandon Montour · 1st 04:01 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
2
Sam Bennett · 2nd 08:04 · GWG · 0–2
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Anton Lundell · 3rd 00:34 · 0–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Alex Tuch · 3rd 11:27 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 18:22 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.