BUF
3–2
NYI
Final / OT · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 22-19-3
3–2
Final / OTW
New York Islanders
NYI · 23-19-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF
01911211311345
NYI
1511101000226
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 22-19-3 · NYI 23-19-5 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Islanders
The Sabres earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 3.0, and they won it in overtime on Cozens's goal. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.0, on 45 and 26 shots on goal.
BUF 4.1 xG · 45 shots
NYI 3.0 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
2nd
1.5 · 1.3
3rd
0.8 · 1.1
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brock Nelson · 1st 07:19 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Alex Tuch · 2nd 08:26 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Matt Martin · 2nd 18:30 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 09:32 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Cozens · OT 00:12 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 67.
BUF 67%NYI 33%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brock Nelson · 1st 07:19 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Alex Tuch · 2nd 08:26 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Matt Martin · 2nd 18:30 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 09:32 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Cozens · OT 00:12 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
42/45 saves · 3 GA · 4.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
