BUF
6–3
ANA
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 23-19-3
6–3
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 13-29-5
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
211117311639
ANA
0931909337
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 23-19-3 · ANA 13-29-5 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Ducks
The Sabres earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.4, and a 6–3 win to show for it. John Gibson allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.4, on 39 and 37 shots on goal.
BUF 3.1 xG · 39 shots
ANA 2.4 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.9
2nd
0.9 · 1.0
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Cozens · 1st 09:53 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
· 1st 17:39 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 04:47 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 08:14 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Peyton Krebs · 2nd 10:49 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Simon Benoit · 2nd 15:29 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 02:12 · 4–3 · slap shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 08:07 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 13:40 · 6–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 61.
BUF 61%ANA 39%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Cozens · 1st 09:53 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
· 1st 17:39 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 04:47 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 08:14 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Peyton Krebs · 2nd 10:49 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Simon Benoit · 2nd 15:29 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 02:12 · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 08:07 · 5–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Peyton Krebs · 3rd 13:40 · 6–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/39 saves · 6 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
