BUF
2–7
CGY
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 26-21-4
2–7
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 25-18-10
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
2306014223
CGY
01142336740
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 26-21-4 · CGY 25-18-10 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres fell to the Flames
The Sabres let a 2–0 lead get away: the Flames came back with 7 unanswered goals — Backlund's equalizer — and won 2–7. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.5, on 23 and 40 shots on goal.
BUF 3.1 xG · 23 shots
CGY 3.5 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd
0.8 · 1.7
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 07:56 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Casey Mittelstadt · 1st 12:34 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 02:17 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 02:37 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Dennis Gilbert · 2nd 04:04 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 07:39 · 2–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 01:57 · 2–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 13:05 · 2–6 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
9
Dillon Dube · 3rd 17:11 · 2–7 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 43.
BUF 43%CGY 57%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tage Thompson · 1st 07:56 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Casey Mittelstadt · 1st 12:34 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
· 2nd 02:17 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 02:37 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Dennis Gilbert · 2nd 04:04 · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 07:39 · 2–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 01:57 · 2–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 13:05 · PP · 2–6
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
9
Dillon Dube · 3rd 17:11 · 2–7
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/40 saves · 7 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
