Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 31-24-4
3–5
FinalL
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 20-35-6
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
116011214341
CBJ
21521318536
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 31-24-4 · CBJ 20-35-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres fell to the Blue Jackets
The Sabres created the better chances (3.9 to 3.2 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. The Sabres owned the 3rd period, 1.7 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 3.2, on 41 and 36 shots on goal.
BUF 3.9 xG · 41 shots
CBJ 3.2 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.4
2nd
1.3 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kent Johnson · 1st 02:53 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 03:11 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Eric Robinson · 1st 13:41 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Eric Robinson · 2nd 11:53 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Boone Jenner · 2nd 19:42 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Jack Quinn · 3rd 05:02 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
JJ Peterka · 3rd 09:46 · 3–4 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Eric Robinson · 3rd 19:25 · 3–5 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 60.
BUF 60%CBJ 40%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kent Johnson · 1st 02:53 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 03:11 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Eric Robinson · 1st 13:41 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Eric Robinson · 2nd 11:53 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Boone Jenner · 2nd 19:42 · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Jack Quinn · 3rd 05:02 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
JJ Peterka · 3rd 09:46 · PP · 3–4
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Eric Robinson · 3rd 19:25 · EN · 3–5
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Nick Blankenburg, Elvis Merzlikins · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.