Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 20-16-2
0–4
FinalL
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 16-18-7
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
05013010028
PHI
31601319438
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 20-16-2 · PHI 16-18-7 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Flyers
The Sabres were outchanced (3.4 to 2.5 expected goals) and lost 0–4. Samuel Ersson stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.5, on 38 and 28 shots on goal.
BUF 2.5 xG · 28 shots
PHI 3.4 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.8
2nd
1.1 · 0.9
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zack MacEwen · 1st 02:04 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Joel Farabee · 1st 13:31 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Noah Cates · 1st 14:58 · 0–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
4
Wade Allison · 3rd 01:56 · 0–4 · poke shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 35.
BUF 35%PHI 65%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zack MacEwen · 1st 02:04 · GWG · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Joel Farabee · 1st 13:31 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Noah Cates · 1st 14:58 · 0–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
4
Wade Allison · 3rd 01:56 · 0–4
Poke shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/28 saves · 0 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.