BUF
2–3
EDM
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 32-26-4
2–3
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 35-22-8
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
115013111239
EDM
12016111337
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 32-26-4 · EDM 35-22-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (4.0 to 3.8 expected goals); the Sabres lost 2–3. Stuart Skinner stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.0 expected goals to 3.8, on 39 and 37 shots on goal.
BUF 4.0 xG · 39 shots
EDM 3.8 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 1.9
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.7
3rd
0.9 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 07:21 · 0–1 · wrap around shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
· 1st 09:45 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Derek Ryan · 2nd 18:45 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 00:41 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Connor McDavid · 3rd 03:23 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 52.
BUF 52%EDM 48%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 07:21 · 0–1
Wrap around shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
· 1st 09:45 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Derek Ryan · 2nd 18:45 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 00:41 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Connor McDavid · 3rd 03:23 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
1
Ryan McLeod, Cody Ceci · wrap around shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
37/39 saves · 2 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
