Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 32-28-4
4–10
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 35-17-13
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
1915215429
DAL
3162185151049
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 32-28-4 · DAL 35-17-13 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres fell to the Stars
The Sabres were outchanced (4.4 to 2.0 expected goals) and lost 4–10. Eric Comrie allowed 5.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 2.0, on 49 and 29 shots on goal.
BUF 2.0 xG · 29 shots
DAL 4.4 xG · 49 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.8 · 1.5
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.8
3rd
0.9 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 07:06 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Joe Pavelski · 1st 19:07 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jamie Benn · 1st 19:25 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Jordan Greenway · 1st 19:35 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Joel Kiviranta · 2nd 08:37 · 1–4 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Kyle Okposo · 2nd 09:51 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Ryan Suter · 2nd 10:38 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
8
· 3rd 03:49 · 3–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
9
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 09:12 · 3–6 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
10
Radek Faksa · 3rd 09:41 · 3–7 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
11
Radek Faksa · 3rd 11:38 · 3–8 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (14%)
12
Roope Hintz · 3rd 12:15 · 3–9 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
13
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 12:31 · 4–9 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
14
Mason Marchment · 3rd 16:12 · 4–10 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 18.
BUF 18%DAL 82%
Goals and penalties
14 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Johnston · 1st 07:06 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Joe Pavelski · 1st 19:07 · PP · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jamie Benn · 1st 19:25 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Jordan Greenway · 1st 19:35 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Joel Kiviranta · 2nd 08:37 · 1–4
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Kyle Okposo · 2nd 09:51 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Ryan Suter · 2nd 10:38 · GWG · 2–5
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
8
· 3rd 03:49 · 3–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
9
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 09:12 · 3–6
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
10
Radek Faksa · 3rd 09:41 · 3–7
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
11
Radek Faksa · 3rd 11:38 · 3–8
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (14%)
12
Roope Hintz · 3rd 12:15 · 3–9
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
13
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 12:31 · 4–9
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
14
Mason Marchment · 3rd 16:12 · 4–10
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
39/49 saves · 10 GA · 4.4 xGA
Allowed 5.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.