Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 32-28-5
1–2
Final / OTL
New York Rangers
NYR · 37-19-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF
0611301400133
NYR
071501113226
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 32-28-5 · NYR 37-19-9 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Rangers
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.4 expected goals); the Sabres lost it in overtime on Panarin's goal. Igor Shesterkin stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.4, on 33 and 26 shots on goal.
BUF 2.8 xG · 33 shots
NYR 2.4 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 0.3
3rd
1.4 · 0.8
OT · the swing
0.0 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 2nd 07:52 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Patrick Kane · 2nd 11:28 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Artemi Panarin · OT 02:02 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 57.
BUF 57%NYR 43%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 2nd 07:52 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Patrick Kane · 2nd 11:28 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Artemi Panarin · OT 02:02 · PP · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.