BUF
3–7
NSH
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 33-31-6
3–7
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 35-26-8
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
05214112331
NSH
2124817727
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 33-31-6 · NSH 35-26-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres fell to the Predators
The Sabres created the better chances (4.2 to 3.7 expected goals) — and lost 3–7. Craig Anderson allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 3.7, on 31 and 27 shots on goal.
BUF 4.2 xG · 31 shots
NSH 3.7 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.4
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 1.2
3rd
1.2 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Philip Tomasino · 1st 11:45 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Matt Duchene · 1st 18:43 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 03:36 · 1–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
4
Tommy Novak · 2nd 04:00 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 09:21 · 1–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 10:01 · 1–5 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Ryan McDonagh · 2nd 15:52 · 1–6 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Tage Thompson · 2nd 17:17 · 2–6 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
9
· 3rd 07:45 · 3–6 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
10
Matt Duchene · 3rd 17:37 · 3–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 57.
BUF 57%NSH 43%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Philip Tomasino · 1st 11:45 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Matt Duchene · 1st 18:43 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 03:36 · 1–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
4
Tommy Novak · 2nd 04:00 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 09:21 · GWG · 1–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Luke Evangelista · 2nd 10:01 · 1–5
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Ryan McDonagh · 2nd 15:52 · 1–6
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Tage Thompson · 2nd 17:17 · PP · 2–6
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
9
· 3rd 07:45 · 3–6
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
10
Matt Duchene · 3rd 17:37 · EN · 3–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/20 saves · 6 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
6/6 saves · 0 GA · 1.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
