BUF
5–4
NJD
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 34-31-6
5–4
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 45-19-8
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
3122509526
NJD
21305213431
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 34-31-6 · NJD 45-19-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres beat the Devils
The Sabres were outchanced (3.2 to 2.6 expected goals) but won 5–4 anyway. Akira Schmid allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 31 and 26 shots on goal.
BUF 2.6 xG · 26 shots
NJD 3.2 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.0
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Cozens · 1st 06:29 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 07:08 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Yegor Sharangovich · 1st 09:07 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jack Quinn · 1st 10:55 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Kevin Bahl · 1st 18:46 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Alex Tuch · 2nd 04:50 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Alex Tuch · 2nd 16:38 · 5–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Jack Hughes · 3rd 05:20 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Jack Hughes · 3rd 09:33 · 5–4 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 41.
BUF 41%NJD 59%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Cozens · 1st 06:29 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Tage Thompson · 1st 07:08 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Yegor Sharangovich · 1st 09:07 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jack Quinn · 1st 10:55 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Kevin Bahl · 1st 18:46 · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Alex Tuch · 2nd 04:50 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Alex Tuch · 2nd 16:38 · PP · GWG · 5–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Jack Hughes · 3rd 05:20 · 5–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Jack Hughes · 3rd 09:33 · PP · 5–4
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
