Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 35-31-7
3–4
Final / SOL
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 30-38-6
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF
1132909020333
MTL
16118113041441
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–2
BUF 35-31-7 · MTL 30-38-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–2
Sabres fell to the Canadiens
The Sabres were outchanced (4.9 to 2.4 expected goals) and lost it in a shootout. Eric Comrie stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 2.4, on 41 and 33 shots on goal.
BUF 2.4 xG · 33 shots
MTL 4.9 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 2.3
3rd
0.6 · 0.9
OT
0.3 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Harris · 1st 01:22 · 0–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Lukas Rousek · 1st 03:49 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Alex Belzile · 2nd 04:28 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
JJ Peterka · 2nd 05:49 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
· 2nd 08:31 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Brendan Gallagher · 3rd 08:35 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 18.
BUF 18%MTL 82%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Harris · 1st 01:22 · 0–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Lukas Rousek · 1st 03:49 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Alex Belzile · 2nd 04:28 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
JJ Peterka · 2nd 05:49 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
· 2nd 08:31 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Brendan Gallagher · 3rd 08:35 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Canadiens
Goaltending
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 4.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.