BUF
3–4
CGY
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 1-3-0
3–4
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 2-1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
2707113327
CGY
212011213436
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 1-3-0 · CGY 2-1-1 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Flames
The Sabres were outchanced (3.5 to 2.4 expected goals) and lost 3–4.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.4, on 36 and 27 shots on goal.
BUF 2.4 xG · 27 shots
CGY 3.5 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.7 · 1.5
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd
1.1 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 00:49 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Erik Johnson · 1st 06:06 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
· 1st 10:15 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Tage Thompson · 1st 14:28 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Blake Coleman · 3rd 01:52 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
6
JJ Peterka · 3rd 03:14 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Adam Ruzicka · 3rd 04:35 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 33.
BUF 33%CGY 67%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 00:49 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Erik Johnson · 1st 06:06 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
· 1st 10:15 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Tage Thompson · 1st 14:28 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Blake Coleman · 3rd 01:52 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
6
JJ Peterka · 3rd 03:14 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Adam Ruzicka · 3rd 04:35 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
