BUF
3–1
NYI
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 2-3-0
3–1
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 2-1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
013217112342
NYI
080819125
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 2-3-0 · NYI 2-1-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres beat the Islanders
The Sabres earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 2.7, and a 3–1 win to show for it. Eric Comrie stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.7, on 42 and 25 shots on goal.
BUF 3.8 xG · 42 shots
NYI 2.7 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd
1.5 · 1.4
3rd
1.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 2nd 16:37 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 19:23 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 02:40 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Noah Dobson · 3rd 18:39 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 66.
BUF 66%NYI 34%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 2nd 16:37 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Mattias Samuelsson · 2nd 19:23 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 02:40 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Noah Dobson · 3rd 18:39 · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
