BUF
1–3
MTL
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 2-4-0
1–3
FinalL
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 3-1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
17017013137
MTL
1409214327
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 2-4-0 · MTL 3-1-1 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Canadiens
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.3 expected goals); the Sabres lost 1–3. Jake Allen stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.3, on 37 and 27 shots on goal.
BUF 3.4 xG · 37 shots
MTL 3.3 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.5
2nd
1.8 · 1.2
3rd
1.0 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Justin Barron · 1st 02:56 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
2
· 1st 07:13 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Brendan Gallagher · 3rd 03:31 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Tanner Pearson · 3rd 16:53 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 51.
BUF 51%MTL 49%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Justin Barron · 1st 02:56 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
2
· 1st 07:13 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Brendan Gallagher · 3rd 03:31 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Tanner Pearson · 3rd 16:53 · PP · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
3
David Savard, Tanner Pearson · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–2
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
36/37 saves · 1 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
