Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 4-5-0
4–0
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 6-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
1112919429
COL
0601106023
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 4-5-0 · COL 6-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.1 expected goals); the Sabres won 4–0. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.1, on 29 and 23 shots on goal.
BUF 2.3 xG · 29 shots
COL 2.1 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.1 · 0.6
2nd
0.9 · 0.8
3rd
0.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 10:32 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 01:39 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Tyson Jost · 2nd 08:16 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 16:52 · 4–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 54.
BUF 54%COL 46%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 10:32 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 01:39 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Tyson Jost · 2nd 08:16 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 16:52 · EN · 4–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/23 saves · 0 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.