Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 5-6-0
1–5
FinalL
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 5-5-1
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
0401216122
PHI
391614519
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 5-6-0 · PHI 5-5-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres fell to the Flyers
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.4 expected goals); the Sabres lost 1–5. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.4, on 22 and 19 shots on goal.
BUF 2.6 xG · 22 shots
PHI 2.4 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 0.8
3rd
0.9 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Scott Laughton · 1st 01:03 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Louie Belpedio · 1st 01:31 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Travis Konecny · 1st 14:57 · 0–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (23%)
4
Garnet Hathaway · 2nd 14:35 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Henri Jokiharju · 3rd 02:24 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Bobby Brink · 3rd 11:28 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 53.
BUF 53%PHI 47%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Scott Laughton · 1st 01:03 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Louie Belpedio · 1st 01:31 · GWG · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Travis Konecny · 1st 14:57 · 0–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (23%)
4
Garnet Hathaway · 2nd 14:35 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Henri Jokiharju · 3rd 02:24 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Bobby Brink · 3rd 11:28 · 1–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2
Unassisted · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
0–2
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/19 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/22 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.