Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 7-8-1
2–5
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 12-1-2
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
01318113234
BOS
31128013532
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 7-8-1 · BOS 12-1-2 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Bruins
Chances were even (3.5 to 3.7 expected goals); the Sabres lost 2–5. Devon Levi allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 3.7, on 34 and 32 shots on goal.
BUF 3.5 xG · 34 shots
BOS 3.7 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.2
2nd
1.3 · 1.2
3rd
1.1 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Danton Heinen · 1st 03:01 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
2
David Pastrnak · 1st 04:09 · 0–2 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Brandon Carlo · 1st 15:14 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Oskar Steen · 2nd 04:07 · 0–4 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Hampus Lindholm · 2nd 12:23 · 0–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 15:07 · 1–5 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 15:02 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 48.
BUF 48%BOS 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Danton Heinen · 1st 03:01 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
2
David Pastrnak · 1st 04:09 · 0–2
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Brandon Carlo · 1st 15:14 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Oskar Steen · 2nd 04:07 · 0–4
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Hampus Lindholm · 2nd 12:23 · PP · 0–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 15:07 · 1–5
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 15:02 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
13/18 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
14/14 saves · 0 GA · 1.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.