Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 9-9-2
3–2
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 9-10-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
01109314334
PIT
111111011233
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 9-9-2 · PIT 9-10-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres beat the Penguins
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Sabres erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Okposo's equalizer — and won 3–2. The Sabres owned the 3rd period, 1.8 to 0.6 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.7, on 34 and 33 shots on goal.
BUF 3.9 xG · 34 shots
PIT 2.7 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.7
2nd
1.0 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 16:46 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Lars Eller · 2nd 16:44 · 0–2 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
3
· 3rd 05:13 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 10:52 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Alex Tuch · 3rd 17:16 · 3–2 · snap shot, a great chance (34%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 68.
BUF 68%PIT 32%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sidney Crosby · 1st 16:46 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Lars Eller · 2nd 16:44 · 0–2
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
3
· 3rd 05:13 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 10:52 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Alex Tuch · 3rd 17:16 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a great chance (34%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.