Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 10-13-2
1–2
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 12-12-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
011112012135
NSH
2140807229
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 10-13-2 · NSH 12-12-0 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Predators
Chances were even (3.1 to 3.4 expected goals); the Sabres lost 1–2. Juuse Saros stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.4, on 35 and 29 shots on goal.
BUF 3.1 xG · 35 shots
NSH 3.4 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.6 · 1.7
2nd
1.5 · 1.0
3rd
1.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 09:40 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Yakov Trenin · 1st 10:54 · 0–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 10:02 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 46.
BUF 46%NSH 54%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Filip Forsberg · 1st 09:40 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Yakov Trenin · 1st 10:54 · GWG · 0–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 10:02 · PS · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/35 saves · 1 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.