BUF
3–5
DET
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 10-14-2
3–5
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 14-7-3
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
01117214332
DET
2921216527
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 10-14-2 · DET 14-7-3 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Red Wings
The Sabres were outchanced (3.0 to 2.2 expected goals) and lost 3–5. Eric Comrie allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.2, on 27 and 32 shots on goal.
BUF 2.2 xG · 32 shots
DET 3.0 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.1
3rd
0.9 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 03:40 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Robby Fabbri · 1st 08:25 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Moritz Seider · 2nd 05:43 · 0–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Michael Rasmussen · 2nd 13:55 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 18:57 · 1–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 08:20 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
· 3rd 11:37 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 19:14 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 38.
BUF 38%DET 62%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 03:40 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Robby Fabbri · 1st 08:25 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Moritz Seider · 2nd 05:43 · PP · 0–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Michael Rasmussen · 2nd 13:55 · GWG · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Rasmus Dahlin · 2nd 18:57 · PP · 1–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 08:20 · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
· 3rd 11:37 · PP · 3–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 19:14 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
