Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 13-17-3
4–9
FinalL
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 11-17-5
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
14114211429
CBJ
31441327934
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 13-17-3 · CBJ 11-17-5 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Blue Jackets
The Sabres were outchanced (3.2 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost 4–9. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blue Jackets created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 34 and 29 shots on goal.
BUF 2.6 xG · 29 shots
CBJ 3.2 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.0
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
0.8 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 00:30 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Johnny Gaudreau · 1st 10:35 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Adam Fantilli · 1st 14:40 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Kirill Marchenko · 1st 19:48 · 1–3 · between legs shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Kirill Marchenko · 2nd 07:37 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Kirill Marchenko · 2nd 07:55 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Erik Gudbranson · 2nd 08:52 · 1–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Sean Kuraly · 2nd 12:27 · 1–7 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Kyle Okposo · 2nd 18:54 · 2–7 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
10
Tage Thompson · 3rd 02:57 · 3–7 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
11
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 07:51 · 4–7 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
12
Cole Sillinger · 3rd 08:30 · 4–8 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
13
Kent Johnson · 3rd 10:59 · 4–9 · slap shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 39.
BUF 39%CBJ 61%
Goals and penalties
13 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 00:30 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Johnny Gaudreau · 1st 10:35 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Adam Fantilli · 1st 14:40 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Kirill Marchenko · 1st 19:48 · PP · 1–3
Between legs shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Kirill Marchenko · 2nd 07:37 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Kirill Marchenko · 2nd 07:55 · GWG · 1–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Erik Gudbranson · 2nd 08:52 · 1–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Sean Kuraly · 2nd 12:27 · 1–7
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
9
Kyle Okposo · 2nd 18:54 · 2–7
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
10
Tage Thompson · 3rd 02:57 · PP · 3–7
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
11
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 07:51 · 4–7
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
12
Cole Sillinger · 3rd 08:30 · 4–8
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
13
Kent Johnson · 3rd 10:59 · 4–9
Slap shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
2nd period
9
Casey Mittelstadt, Victor Olofsson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–7
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 1.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
11/16 saves · 5 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.