BUF
3–2
CBJ
Final / OT · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 15-18-4
3–2
Final / OTW
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 12-18-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF
01311511212342
CBJ
17160700220
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BUF 15-18-4 · CBJ 12-18-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Sabres beat the Blue Jackets
The Sabres earned it: 4.2 expected goals to 1.6, and they won it in overtime on 's goal. Daniil Tarasov stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 1.6, on 42 and 20 shots on goal.
BUF 4.2 xG · 42 shots
CBJ 1.6 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.5
2nd
1.5 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
1.1 · 0.2
OT
0.4 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Damon Severson · 1st 19:47 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jack Quinn · 2nd 00:40 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
3
Adam Fantilli · 2nd 13:45 · 1–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 11:52 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
· OT 01:20 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 85.
BUF 85%CBJ 15%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Blue Jackets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Damon Severson · 1st 19:47 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jack Quinn · 2nd 00:40 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
3
Adam Fantilli · 2nd 13:45 · 1–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 11:52 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
· OT 01:20 · GWG · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3
Justin Danforth, Cole Sillinger · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
39/42 saves · 3 GA · 4.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
