Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 17-20-4
2–5
FinalL
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 17-14-9
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
11918011238
SEA
2153506526
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 17-20-4 · SEA 17-14-9 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Kraken
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.1 expected goals); the Sabres lost 2–5. Devon Levi allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.1, on 38 and 26 shots on goal.
BUF 2.5 xG · 38 shots
SEA 2.1 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.2 · 1.2
2nd
0.6 · 0.5
3rd
0.7 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 04:57 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Yanni Gourde · 1st 13:55 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Vince Dunn · 1st 18:50 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Alex Tuch · 2nd 00:50 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Alexander Wennberg · 2nd 02:08 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Jaden Schwartz · 2nd 11:34 · 2–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Matty Beniers · 2nd 16:13 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 56.
BUF 56%SEA 44%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 04:57 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Yanni Gourde · 1st 13:55 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Vince Dunn · 1st 18:50 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Alex Tuch · 2nd 00:50 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Alexander Wennberg · 2nd 02:08 · GWG · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Jaden Schwartz · 2nd 11:34 · 2–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Matty Beniers · 2nd 16:13 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2
Eeli Tolvanen, Oliver Bjorkstrand · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 2.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.