BUF
5–3
OTT
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 18-20-4
5–3
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 14-23-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
31018114532
OTT
1908211328
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–1
BUF 18-20-4 · OTT 14-23-0 · Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–1
Sabres beat the Senators
Chances were even (1.7 to 1.5 expected goals); the Sabres won 5–3. Joonas Korpisalo allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.7 expected goals to 1.5, on 32 and 28 shots on goal.
BUF 1.7 xG · 32 shots
OTT 1.5 xG · 28 shots
0
1
1st
0.7 · 0.5
2nd
0.5 · 0.5
3rd
0.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 09:14 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 15:06 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 1st 17:28 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Tage Thompson · 1st 19:32 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Peyton Krebs · 2nd 04:52 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Claude Giroux · 3rd 00:43 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Claude Giroux · 3rd 11:15 · 4–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 19:57 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 54.
BUF 54%OTT 46%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 09:14 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 15:06 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Tage Thompson · 1st 17:28 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Tage Thompson · 1st 19:32 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Peyton Krebs · 2nd 04:52 · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Claude Giroux · 3rd 00:43 · 4–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Claude Giroux · 3rd 11:15 · 4–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 19:57 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 1.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
