Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 19-21-4
3–0
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 10-31-3
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
07212116335
SJS
0801208028
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
BUF 19-21-4 · SJS 10-31-3 · First meeting this season — the Sabres lead the season series 1–0
Sabres beat the Sharks
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.0 expected goals); the Sabres won 3–0. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.0, on 35 and 28 shots on goal.
BUF 3.4 xG · 35 shots
SJS 3.0 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 1.4
3rd
1.8 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 11:34 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Alex Tuch · 2nd 14:37 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jordan Greenway · 3rd 16:34 · 3–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 56.
BUF 56%SJS 44%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Casey Mittelstadt · 2nd 11:34 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Alex Tuch · 2nd 14:37 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jordan Greenway · 3rd 16:34 · EN · 3–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/28 saves · 0 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.