BUF
3–0
CHI
Final · W
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 20-21-4
3–0
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 13-30-2
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
01317211331
CHI
040807019
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–0
BUF 20-21-4 · CHI 13-30-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres lead the season series 2–0
Sabres beat the Blackhawks
The Sabres earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 2.1, and a 3–0 win to show for it. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.1, on 31 and 19 shots on goal.
BUF 2.8 xG · 31 shots
CHI 2.1 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.5
2nd
0.4 · 0.7
3rd
1.1 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 12:27 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
JJ Peterka · 3rd 02:57 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 06:06 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 63.
BUF 63%CHI 37%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Blackhawks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Zemgus Girgensons · 2nd 12:27 · GWG · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
JJ Peterka · 3rd 02:57 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Rasmus Dahlin · 3rd 06:06 · PP · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/19 saves · 0 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
