Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 22-24-4
1–2
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 31-13-6
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
016116016148
DAL
1814018230
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 22-24-4 · DAL 31-13-6 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Stars
The Sabres were outchanced (4.4 to 3.7 expected goals) and lost 1–2. Jake Oettinger stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Stars created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 3.7, on 30 and 48 shots on goal.
BUF 3.7 xG · 48 shots
DAL 4.4 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.0 · 0.8
2nd
1.3 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 2.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Duchene · 1st 03:58 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Tage Thompson · 2nd 05:53 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Sam Steel · 2nd 09:04 · 1–2 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 40.
BUF 40%DAL 60%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Duchene · 1st 03:58 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Tage Thompson · 2nd 05:53 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Sam Steel · 2nd 09:04 · GWG · 1–2
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 4.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
47/48 saves · 1 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.