Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 22-25-4
1–3
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 27-21-2
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
09114011134
STL
11114111326
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–2
BUF 22-25-4 · STL 27-21-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–2
Sabres fell to the Blues
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.6 expected goals); the Sabres lost 1–3. Joel Hofer stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.6, on 34 and 26 shots on goal.
BUF 2.6 xG · 34 shots
STL 2.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 1.1
2nd
1.1 · 0.3
3rd
0.5 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Neighbours · 1st 12:53 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Kyle Okposo · 2nd 00:51 · 1–1
3
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 04:32 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 18:03 · 1–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 50.
BUF 50%STL 50%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Neighbours · 1st 12:53 · PP · 0–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Kyle Okposo · 2nd 00:51 · 1–1
3
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 04:32 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 18:03 · 1–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
1st period
1
Pavel Buchnevich, Robert Thomas · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/34 saves · 0 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.