BUF
0–4
FLA
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 23-26-4
0–4
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 35-15-4
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
010017018045
FLA
11216212430
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
BUF 23-26-4 · FLA 35-15-4 · First meeting this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–1
Sabres fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (2.8 to 3.3 expected goals); the Sabres lost 0–4. Anthony Stolarz stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 3.3, on 45 and 30 shots on goal.
BUF 2.8 xG · 45 shots
FLA 3.3 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.1
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd
1.2 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 09:26 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Anton Lundell · 2nd 17:16 · 0–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 18:27 · 0–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
4
Ryan Lomberg · 3rd 19:48 · 0–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 43.
BUF 43%FLA 57%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 09:26 · GWG · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Anton Lundell · 2nd 17:16 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 0–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 18:27 · EN · 0–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
4
Ryan Lomberg · 3rd 19:48 · PP · 0–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
4
Gustav Forsling, Anton Lundell · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
0–4
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
45/45 saves · 0 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
