BUF
3–4
ANA
Final · L
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 24-27-4
3–4
FinalL
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 20-33-2
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF
115212010337
ANA
143802414
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–2
BUF 24-27-4 · ANA 20-33-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 0–2
Sabres fell to the Ducks
The Sabres created the better chances (4.0 to 1.8 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 1.8, on 37 and 14 shots on goal.
BUF 4.0 xG · 37 shots
ANA 1.8 xG · 14 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.4
2nd
1.4 · 1.3
3rd
1.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Greenway · 1st 09:07 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Adam Henrique · 1st 10:10 · 1–1 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Tage Thompson · 2nd 08:10 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 11:59 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 14:34 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
6
Zach Benson · 2nd 15:20 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Troy Terry · 2nd 18:56 · 3–4 · snap shot, a great chance (36%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 81.
BUF 81%ANA 19%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Sabres shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Greenway · 1st 09:07 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Adam Henrique · 1st 10:10 · 1–1
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Tage Thompson · 2nd 08:10 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 11:59 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 14:34 · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
6
Zach Benson · 2nd 15:20 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Troy Terry · 2nd 18:56 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a great chance (36%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
10/14 saves · 4 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
