Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 27-27-4
3–2
Final / SOW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 34-18-6
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF
08112111011332
CAR
11007113020232
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–2
BUF 27-27-4 · CAR 34-18-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Sabres trail the season series 1–2
Sabres beat the Hurricanes
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.8 expected goals); the Sabres won it in a shootout. Spencer Martin stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.8, on 32 and 32 shots on goal.
BUF 3.0 xG · 32 shots
CAR 2.8 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
3rd
0.7 · 1.2
OT
0.3 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tony DeAngelo · 1st 02:40 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
· 2nd 06:27 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
3
Martin Necas · 3rd 14:42 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Owen Power · 3rd 15:55 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Sabres win 52.
BUF 52%CAR 48%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tony DeAngelo · 1st 02:40 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
· 2nd 06:27 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
3
Martin Necas · 3rd 14:42 · PP · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Owen Power · 3rd 15:55 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Sabres
Goaltending
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.